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Huge Voter Turnout For State's Primaries

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RED ALERT: Shock Poll Shows MAJOR PROBLEMS for Dems Heading into 2018 Midterms

That means if primary turnout in other states look like 2006, it might be another sign (along with the generic congressional ballot and special elections) that 2018 is shaping up to be a big Democratic year nationwide.

Democratic candidates filed to run in 180 of the House's 203 districts ahead of this week's deadline.

More than 1,036,950 voters cast ballots for the U.S. Senate race in Tuesday's Democratic primary, the party's highest midterm primary election total in at least 24 years.

There's a surge of energy among Democrats that's enough to concern Sen.

The forecaster moved five seats defended by GOP incumbents from "leans Republican" to "toss-up", and one open New Hampshire seat from "toss-up" to "leans Democratic". None of the 25 Republican seats are rated as lean Democrat.

Democratic National Committee members met last week to discuss proposed changes recommended by the Unity Reform Commission that was formed in the wake of the 2016 primary to make the nomination process more open, fair and inclusive of insurgent campaigns and their supporters.

Was President Trump a factor in the Texas primary? Republicans cast a little more than 56 percent of the primary votes to the Democrats' 44 percent. Democrats will head into the election hoping to pick up two seats to take control of the Senate, but the poll suggests it's a tough fight.

Neither that tragedy nor a mass shooting at a Texas church last fall played as dominant campaign issues in Texas, but with the GOP's majority in Congress on the line this fall, Democrats showed up.

Primary turnout is not dispositive in any case.

The Republican primary for the 6th Congressional District generated about 45,000 votes, while the Democratic contenders racked up approximately 29,000. So even hard-right candidates most likely won't threaten the GOP hold on most of these seats.

In the 1st Congressional District, Republican Rob Wittman should be a lock for reelection.

In the March 2010 Texas primaries, turnout was about the same among Republican primary voters in 2018, but significantly lower among Democrats compared to 2018. In 2016, he carried the district with nearly 60 percent of the vote, nearly 7 percentage points ahead of Donald Trump.

Barely a week before the filing deadline for the June primary, one of the three significant GOP candidates for governor dropped out for the sake of party survival. To the extent that they are not particularly excited about the candidate their party fielded and believe that Democrats will most likely make major gains with or without them, it becomes more likely that a significant number will stay home on Election Day. "Democrats must also defend 10 seats in states that Trump won", Cook points out. His 53 percent rating in IN is the lowest of the five.

Wayne Slater, retired senior political writer for The Dallas Morning News, says he is skeptical of a statewide Democratic wave in Texas, because of the voters who are fueling both parties. (The five percent gerrymandered advantage still applies). In special elections and off-year elections across the country, the Democrats increased their performance almost everywhere, including winning back some state legislative seats.

Democratic enthusiasm in Texas mirrors that seen in elections previous year when Democrats scored statewide victories in deep-red Alabama and the swing state of Virginia, said Steve Phillips, a a San Francisco-based lawyer and author who is a major Democratic donor.

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